Igea Virtus vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
31.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
GEL
1 - 4
FCI
63%
23%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
FCI
1 - 1
ACI
57%
24%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ASA
0 - 0
FCI
51%
26%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FCI
0 - 0
VAL
47%
26%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FCI
1 - 1
ASM
54%
26%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
FCC
0 - 0
USV
64%
22%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SSC
1 - 1
FCC
41%
28%
31%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
FCC
1 - 0
SSM
66%
22%
13%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
RAA
0 - 1
FCC
32%
29%
39%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ACI
1 - 1
FCC
26%
29%
46%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |