Igea Virtus vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MON
4 - 1
FCI
56%
24%
20%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FCI
0 - 0
PES
38%
26%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SSS
2 - 2
FCI
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FCI
2 - 0
VIG
49%
28%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
FCI
2 - 0
SSM
41%
28%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 2
COS
34%
28%
38%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SSB
1 - 1
ASM
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 1
ASA
40%
28%
32%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ACI
2 - 2
ASM
29%
26%
45%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ASM
2 - 3
FCC
34%
31%
35%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |