Igea Virtus vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
FCI
0 - 0
SSS
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
USV
0 - 1
FCI
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
FCI
0 - 0
BEN
28%
28%
44%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
FCC
4 - 2
FCI
49%
27%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
FCI
3 - 2
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ASM
2 - 2
ASA
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 0
ASM
58%
26%
17%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ASM
3 - 0
ASC
39%
28%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
TUR
2 - 1
ASM
34%
26%
39%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 0
FCC
46%
28%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |