Igea Virtus vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
FCI
0 - 0
POT
40%
26%
33%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
COS
2 - 1
FCI
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
GEL
1 - 0
FCI
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FCI
1 - 0
NOC
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
2 - 0
FCI
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ASM
1 - 2
COS
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
FCC
2 - 1
ASM
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
NOC
2 - 1
ASM
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ASM
2 - 1
BEN
29%
28%
43%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ASM
1 - 1
ASA
34%
27%
38%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |