Honka III vs FC Espoo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
79.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Espoo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
OLK
0 - 8
FCE
9%
14%
76%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FCE
3 - 1
ESP
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
EIF
4 - 2
FCE
15%
18%
67%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FCE
0 - 1
TOO
87%
9%
5%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NUP
2 - 4
FCE
9%
15%
76%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |