FC Honka vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
11º
4º
36
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
HON
5 - 1
HOA
76%
16%
7%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 1
HON
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
HON
2 - 1
IFK
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
INT
2 - 0
HON
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 1
HON
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 0
VAA
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
VAA
0 - 2
KUO
20%
27%
53%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
SEI
2 - 1
VAA
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 0
VAA
28%
24%
47%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 1
OTP
79%
13%
7%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |