Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 4-4
FC Honka vs Sillamäe Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
HON
0 - 2
ROP
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
SIK
2 - 1
HON
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
HON
2 - 1
INT
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
SEI
2 - 1
HON
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
HON
1 - 1
HJK
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sillamäe Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
SIK
6 - 1
TAL
82%
13%
6%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
SIK
2 - 1
HON
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
SIK
0 - 2
LEV
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
TIN
3 - 3
SIK
25%
24%
52%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 3
SIK
17%
21%
62%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |