FC Honka vs AC Oulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
11º
4º
31
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
HON
0 - 0
TOB
32%
26%
43%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 1
HON
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SEI
1 - 0
HON
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 3
HON
13%
19%
68%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HON
1 - 1
HJK
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OUL
3 - 1
KOO
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 0
OUL
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 2
OUL
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 2
OUL
30%
23%
47%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
OUL
3 - 0
HAK
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |