Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 2-5
FC Honka vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
IFK
1 - 4
HON
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
JJK
1 - 0
HON
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
HON
4 - 2
FFJ
67%
21%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ROP
0 - 1
HON
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
HON
2 - 0
MYP
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LPO
2 - 0
KOR
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
SLA
1 - 1
LPO
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LPO
0 - 2
POD
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
WAR
1 - 0
LPO
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
LPO
4 - 0
WLO
61%
23%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |