FC Honka vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
HJK
3 - 0
HON
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
HON
0 - 3
VAA
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SEI
1 - 2
HON
36%
27%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
HON
0 - 2
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 2
HON
21%
26%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ILV
2 - 1
IFK
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
KOO
0 - 3
ILV
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
HAK
2 - 2
ILV
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 2
ILV
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HON
2 - 0
ILV
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |