FC Honka vs Ilves analysis

FC Honka Ilves
72 ELO 65
-7.8% Tilt -4.1%
1134º General ELO ranking 850º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.5%
FC Honka
25.3%
Draw
20.2%
Ilves

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
FC Honka
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
20.2%
Win probability
Ilves
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Honka
-2%
+8%
Ilves

Points and table prediction

FC Honka
Their league position
Ilves
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
11º
20
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
HJK Helsinki
44
54
89%
KuPS Kuopio
43
50
69%
VPS Vaasa
36
46
36%
FC Honka
35
42
21.5%
SJK
38
42
24.5%
AC Oulu
31
41
28%
Inter Turku
34
38
41%
FC Haka
24
32
68.5%
FC Lahti
22
29
43.5%
Ilves
10º
20
28
10º
40.5%
FC KTP
11º
20
24
11º
57%
IFK Mariehamn
12º
15
19
12º
82.5%
Expected probabilities
FC Honka
Ilves
Play-offs for the title
92.5% 0%
Relegation play-offs
7.5% 100%

ELO progression

FC Honka
Ilves
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Honka
FC Honka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2023
HON
FC Honka
1 - 0
IFK Mariehamn
IFK
66%
20%
14%
71 58 13 0
18 Aug. 2023
IFK
IFK Mariehamn
0 - 1
FC Honka
HON
24%
26%
50%
71 59 12 0
13 Aug. 2023
HON
FC Honka
1 - 0
Inter Turku
INT
45%
27%
28%
70 68 2 +1
07 Aug. 2023
FCL
FC Lahti
1 - 0
FC Honka
HON
22%
26%
53%
70 58 12 0
30 Jul. 2023
HON
FC Honka
4 - 1
AC Oulu
OUL
46%
26%
28%
70 67 3 0

Matches

Ilves
Ilves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2023
ILV
Ilves
1 - 0
AC Oulu
OUL
39%
24%
38%
64 65 1 0
19 Aug. 2023
OUL
AC Oulu
0 - 3
Ilves
ILV
48%
26%
26%
63 66 3 +1
13 Aug. 2023
ILV
Ilves
0 - 3
KuPS Kuopio
KUO
24%
27%
49%
63 75 12 0
04 Aug. 2023
ILV
Ilves
1 - 2
FC Haka
HAK
45%
26%
29%
64 63 1 -1
28 Jul. 2023
ILV
Ilves
0 - 2
VPS Vaasa
VAA
38%
26%
37%
65 66 1 -1