FC Honka vs Ilves II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.4%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.6%
4.8%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+87%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
9º
7º
22
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 39 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
92% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 23 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
HON
1 - 2
PK3
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
INT
5 - 3
HON
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
HON
0 - 0
EBK
66%
22%
13%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VJS
3 - 1
HON
8%
20%
72%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 1
HON
8%
17%
75%
|
72 | 29 | 43 | +1 |
Matches
Ilves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
ILV
0 - 3
INT
8%
16%
77%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ILV
2 - 4
INT
18%
20%
63%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
EBK
2 - 1
ILV
49%
20%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
ILV
1 - 1
VJS
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TAM
5 - 1
ILV
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |