Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 4-2
FC Honka vs ÍA Akranes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
TAM
1 - 2
HON
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
HON
1 - 1
INT
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2008 |
HON
4 - 0
PAL
82%
13%
6%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2008 |
KUO
1 - 2
HON
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2008 |
HON
1 - 2
VAA
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
ÍA Akranes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
FJO
2 - 0
IAA
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
IAA
1 - 2
GRI
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2008 |
KRR
2 - 0
IAA
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2008 |
IAA
1 - 1
THR
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2008 |
HKK
1 - 0
IAA
24%
22%
54%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |