FC Honka vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
11º
4º
44
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
HON
1 - 0
VAA
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
HON
5 - 1
HOA
76%
16%
7%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 1
HON
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
HON
2 - 1
IFK
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
INT
2 - 0
HON
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
HAK
1 - 1
HJK
25%
27%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
KOO
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 2
HJK
15%
25%
60%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
HJK
0 - 0
SEI
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 1
HON
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |