FC Holzhausen vs TSV Essingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
17º
16º
46
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
59% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
41% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Holzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
OFF
3 - 1
FCH
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 1
RAV
54%
20%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
REU
4 - 1
FCH
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
FCH
18%
19%
63%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FCH
3 - 0
NOT
57%
19%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
TSV Essingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 1
NOR
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 1
TSV
94%
4%
2%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
TSV
0 - 1
SGS
7%
13%
80%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 2
TSV
91%
6%
2%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TSV
0 - 2
DEN
11%
15%
74%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |