Herzogenbuchsee vs Seefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herzogenbuchsee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCT
6 - 2
FCH
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FCH
0 - 3
AAR
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
KUS
5 - 1
FCH
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FCH
0 - 6
UST
27%
24%
50%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LAN
3 - 1
FCH
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Seefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SEE
3 - 1
UZU
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SEE
2 - 0
WOH
66%
19%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FCT
2 - 1
SEE
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SEE
2 - 0
AAR
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
KUS
1 - 2
SEE
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |