Herzogenbuchsee vs Red Star Zürich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
73.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herzogenbuchsee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
KOS
3 - 0
FCH
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FCH
1 - 1
SUB
29%
24%
47%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
WOH
3 - 0
FCH
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FCH
0 - 2
DIE
11%
18%
72%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
UZU
4 - 1
FCH
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
RSZ
0 - 0
UZU
56%
21%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SEE
3 - 2
RSZ
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
RSZ
0 - 3
AAR
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -4 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RSZ
1 - 0
FCT
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
KUS
0 - 3
RSZ
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |