Herzogenbuchsee vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
67.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herzogenbuchsee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
AAR
0 - 1
FCH
90%
7%
3%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCH
1 - 2
KUS
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
UST
2 - 0
FCH
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FCH
1 - 4
LAN
9%
16%
75%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
4 - 2
FCH
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
FCT
3 - 0
UST
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FCT
3 - 2
UZU
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SEE
1 - 1
FCT
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FCT
4 - 1
AAR
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
KUS
1 - 1
FCT
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -1 |