Herzogenbuchsee vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herzogenbuchsee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
KUS
5 - 1
FCH
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FCH
0 - 6
UST
27%
24%
50%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LAN
3 - 1
FCH
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCH
0 - 2
SCH
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RSZ
3 - 1
FCH
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
AAR
1 - 2
UZU
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SEE
2 - 0
AAR
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
AAR
4 - 0
FCT
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AAR
5 - 1
WOH
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
KUS
0 - 0
AAR
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |