FC Hatvan vs Karcag SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+129%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
13º
10º
44
4º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
65% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
65% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hatvan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TIS
1 - 0
FCH
69%
18%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 3
DEB
19%
20%
61%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
EGE
1 - 0
FCH
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 0
CIG
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PUT
0 - 1
FCH
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Karcag SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
SAL
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 0
GAK
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TIS
2 - 0
KAR
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 2
DEB
26%
21%
53%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
EGE
1 - 1
KAR
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |