FC Hatvan vs Diósgyőr VTK II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
13º
10º
32
8º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
65% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
65% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 35% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 65% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hatvan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TIS
1 - 1
FCH
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 4
SFC
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 0
ERD
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 2
MON
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
FCH
2 - 2
PEN
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Diósgyőr VTK II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DIO
0 - 0
SAL
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
DIO
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
DIO
2 - 1
TIS
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ZLI
1 - 1
DIO
93%
5%
2%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DIO
4 - 3
TIS
33%
23%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |