FC Gueugnon vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
LOR
3 - 0
FCG
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
FCG
4 - 0
RED
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
LMU
2 - 3
FCG
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
FCG
1 - 0
NÎM
56%
23%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
ASS
0 - 1
FCG
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
LIL
1 - 1
VAL
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
VAL
3 - 2
LOR
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
RED
1 - 1
VAL
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
VAL
1 - 0
LMU
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
NÎM
1 - 2
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |