FC Gueugnon vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
9º
14º
14º
29
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
95.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 39 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 36 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
64% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 2
FCG
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCG
0 - 1
STG
11%
23%
66%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
FCG
44%
24%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 2
CSL
17%
20%
64%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DIJ
2 - 0
FCG
66%
20%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
IVR
2 - 0
STG
12%
23%
65%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 5
IVR
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
IVR
1 - 2
SML
16%
22%
62%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DIJ
2 - 0
IVR
65%
20%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 1
IVR
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |