FC Gueugnon vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
FCR
0 - 0
FCG
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
FCG
0 - 2
GRE
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
VAL
3 - 1
FCG
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
FCG
1 - 0
BRC
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
FCG
1 - 3
REI
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2004 |
CAE
2 - 2
NIO
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
ANG
0 - 1
CAE
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
AMI
1 - 0
CAE
38%
26%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 2
STL
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
CAE
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |