Groningen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ZWO
1 - 1
GRO
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 1
FOR
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 1
GAE
38%
30%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 3
GRO
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 2
NEC
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 0
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 1
RKC
35%
26%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 1
TWE
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
ZWO
2 - 0
WIL
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |