Groningen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GRA
0 - 1
GRO
30%
26%
45%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 3
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
UTR
0 - 1
GRO
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TWE
2 - 1
GRO
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 0
RJC
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
WIL
3 - 3
ADO
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
AJA
7 - 0
WIL
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 2
TWE
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |