Groningen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 0
GRO
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
GRO
2 - 1
SPA
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 0
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
GRO
0 - 1
SPA
33%
26%
42%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
HER
2 - 1
GRO
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 3
MON
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 0
ADO
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
RJC
0 - 2
WIL
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
MON
2 - 0
WIL
77%
16%
8%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |