EL Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-6
Groningen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 2
GRO
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 0
RJC
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FEY
1 - 1
GRO
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GRO
3 - 1
GRA
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
ADO
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
HER
2 - 2
FEY
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |