Groningen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FEY
5 - 1
GRO
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 4
RJC
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 1
GRO
32%
24%
44%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GRO
7 - 1
WIL
78%
16%
6%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 4
GRO
48%
23%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
HER
6 - 1
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
UTR
1 - 1
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FEY
2 - 1
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
RJC
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 1
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |