Groningen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2011 |
HER
3 - 2
GRO
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 0
PSV
21%
24%
54%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ADO
2 - 4
GRO
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
GRO
3 - 1
NEC
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRO
30%
25%
46%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2011 |
HER
3 - 2
GRO
41%
24%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
ADO
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |