Groningen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GRO
0 - 1
AZA
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 5
GRO
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
TWE
4 - 0
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
GRO
0 - 0
UTR
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 1
GRO
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
HER
3 - 1
UTR
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
HER
3 - 0
HFC
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 2
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
RKC
0 - 1
HER
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
HER
1 - 3
TWE
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |