Groningen vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 1
RJC
46%
24%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
ADO
3 - 0
GRO
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 3
SCH
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 1
GRO
24%
23%
53%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 3
HER
21%
24%
56%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRA
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 0
UTR
21%
27%
51%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 0
GRA
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 3
FEY
13%
21%
66%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |