Groningen vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
11.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1986 |
AZA
0 - 4
GRO
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
GRO
4 - 1
FEY
34%
24%
43%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
GAE
2 - 1
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
GRO
3 - 2
RJC
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
HER
0 - 4
GRO
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1986 |
ZWO
2 - 4
UTR
45%
29%
27%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1986 |
UTR
1 - 2
TWE
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
PSV
1 - 1
UTR
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1986 |
UTR
1 - 2
AZA
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1986 |
MVV
2 - 1
UTR
46%
29%
26%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |