Groningen vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 3
GRO
9%
16%
75%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 2
GRO
23%
23%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 0
AZA
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
GRO
4 - 1
VIT
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
RJC
1 - 0
GRO
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
TWE
5 - 0
HER
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
KAI
4 - 1
TWE
31%
27%
43%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2010 |
TWE
5 - 0
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SCH
6 - 2
TWE
28%
26%
47%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
TWE
3 - 3
TOT
33%
24%
44%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |