Groningen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 0
GRA
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
AZA
1 - 0
GRO
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 0
ADO
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
UTR
0 - 0
GRO
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
GRO
3 - 2
VVV
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 0
EXC
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
ZWO
37%
26%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
VVV
1 - 0
EXC
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
PSV
8%
14%
78%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |