Groningen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SCH
0 - 0
GRO
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
VIT
39%
26%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HER
1 - 4
GRO
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
HOF
2 - 1
GRO
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 3
GRO
27%
23%
51%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RJC
4 - 0
EXC
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
GAE
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
PSV
2 - 0
EXC
80%
15%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 3
EXC
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 2
NEC
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |