Groningen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 0
GRO
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 3
AZA
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 2
GRO
33%
25%
43%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
GRO
4 - 2
ADO
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RJC
2 - 1
GRO
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 3
UTR
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PSV
6 - 1
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 1
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
FEY
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |