Groningen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1999 |
VOL
2 - 0
GRO
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
GRO
1 - 1
FCO
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
FCE
1 - 0
GRO
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1999 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1999 |
GRO
1 - 2
BOS
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1999 |
EXC
1 - 2
FCD
66%
19%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
ZWO
3 - 1
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 2
EIN
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
BOS
3 - 3
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
EXC
2 - 3
BVV
58%
22%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |