Groningen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRO
90%
7%
3%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
GRO
3 - 0
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
SPA
3 - 3
GRO
64%
20%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
BOS
1 - 0
GRO
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
GRO
3 - 0
HFC
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
EXC
1 - 0
MVV
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
EXC
3 - 0
NEC
61%
24%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 1
PSV
15%
23%
63%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
SPA
3 - 1
EXC
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 2
TWE
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |