Groningen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
GAE
3 - 3
GRO
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BVO
4 - 1
GRO
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 0
UTR
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 4
GRO
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 3
GET
27%
27%
47%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 3
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AZA
3 - 2
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
RJC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
18%
20%
62%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |