Groningen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
68.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 0
VVV
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 0
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RKC
1 - 1
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
AZA
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 4
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
RMA
4 - 1
AJA
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |