Groningen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
GRO
0 - 2
NAC
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRO
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
GRO
4 - 0
UTR
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 3
GRO
37%
25%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
64%
21%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SPA
4 - 0
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PSV
6 - 2
AJA
35%
25%
40%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
AJA
7 - 0
WIL
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |