Groningen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
61.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 2
GRO
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 1
GRO
38%
25%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 3
SCH
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
RJC
2 - 5
GRO
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 4
TWE
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 4
AJA
19%
22%
58%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 6
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 2
SLP
74%
16%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |