FC Grenchen vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
5 - 1
FCG
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
FCG
0 - 1
OLD
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ZOF
1 - 2
FCG
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
EMM
1 - 0
FCG
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
FCG
3 - 2
BIE
25%
26%
49%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
FCL
0 - 3
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
FCV
1 - 0
FCL
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
FCP
0 - 3
FCL
15%
20%
65%
|
70 | 10 | 60 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCL
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |