FC Grenchen vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FCA
3 - 0
FCG
18%
19%
64%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
FCG
1 - 0
LAC
57%
19%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
KLI
1 - 3
FCG
16%
18%
66%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FCG
1 - 1
MUT
69%
16%
15%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FCG
0 - 2
FCU
71%
15%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FCS
4 - 0
EIN
85%
10%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ZOF
1 - 2
FCS
81%
13%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 3
FCM
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DIE
3 - 0
FCS
75%
14%
10%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FCS
3 - 1
WAN
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |