FC Grenchen vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NEX
4 - 0
FCG
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
FCG
4 - 3
LUZ
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
WAN
0 - 0
FCG
38%
24%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
FCG
1 - 5
MUN
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SOL
2 - 2
FCG
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 1
FCS
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 1
NEX
12%
20%
68%
|
34 | 66 | 32 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LUZ
2 - 0
FCS
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
FCS
5 - 1
WAN
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MUN
3 - 0
FCS
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |