FC Gossau vs Arbon 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
9.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+112%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
4º
36
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gossau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CHU
4 - 3
FCG
20%
20%
61%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCG
3 - 1
FCS
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
0 - 4
FCG
28%
20%
52%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCG
4 - 0
WID
50%
20%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
BAZ
1 - 1
FCG
22%
20%
59%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Arbon 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ARB
6 - 1
DSG
20%
19%
61%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 1
ARB
64%
18%
17%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 2
WIL
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 3
ARB
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 0
UST
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |