Gonio vs Sioni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
8º
6º
20
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 73 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 57 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 52 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 51 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 43 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 40 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 28 |
10º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 39.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 51% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
35% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
MET
2 - 2
GON
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
GON
2 - 2
SAM
36%
26%
39%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MER
1 - 3
GON
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
GON
0 - 1
MES
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
SAT
0 - 1
GON
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sioni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
SIO
2 - 1
DIN
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 0
SIO
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SIO
1 - 0
LOK
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SIO
1 - 1
SAT
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
MET
1 - 0
SIO
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |