FC Golden State vs Temecula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Golden State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TEM
0 - 2
FGS
9%
14%
77%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
RIC
0 - 5
FGS
6%
12%
82%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
FGS
2 - 2
ASD
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
FGS
3 - 2
OCO
45%
24%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
TEM
0 - 3
FGS
10%
15%
76%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Temecula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TEM
0 - 2
FGS
9%
14%
77%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
LVL
8 - 0
TEM
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
TEM
2 - 2
ARI
12%
17%
72%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ARI
6 - 1
TEM
86%
9%
4%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
TEM
0 - 3
FGS
10%
15%
76%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |