Golden State Force vs Ventura County Fusion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden State Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
GSF
3 - 1
SEA
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GSF
1 - 1
BYU
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ventura County Fusion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
VEN
1 - 2
FRA
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 2
TUC
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 3
WOL
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 0
OCB
85%
10%
4%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
BDR
1 - 0
VEN
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |